JEN 78-97 BER, October 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BER beat JEN 97-78, and BER's shots were worth 95.7 points to JEN's 86.7.

JEN 78-97 BER, October 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
JEN	67	64	73.7	14/18	13.0	78	86.7
BER	71	78	78.1	19/24	17.6	97	95.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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