VEC 83-96 MBC, October 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MBC beat VEC 96-83, but VEC's shots were worth 86.5 points to MBC's 84.5.

VEC 83-96 MBC, October 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VEC	71	74	76.0	9/15	10.5	83	86.5
MBC	66	79	67.5	17/24	17.0	96	84.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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