HDB 83-87 JEN, October 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. JEN beat HDB 87-83, but HDB's shots were worth 86.5 points to JEN's 83.1.

HDB 83-87 JEN, October 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HDB	65	68	70.9	15/21	15.5	83	86.5
JEN	67	70	67.2	17/22	15.8	87	83.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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