OLD 75-89 FRS, September 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. FRS beat OLD 89-75, but OLD's shots were worth 81.2 points to FRS's 80.3.

OLD 75-89 FRS, September 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLD	57	54	60.8	21/26	20.3	75	81.2
FRS	61	71	61.0	18/27	19.3	89	80.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.