TRI 88-78 HRO, September 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TRI beat HRO 88-78, and TRI's shots were worth 87.2 points to HRO's 79.1.

TRI 88-78 HRO, September 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TRI	67	66	67.2	22/27	20.0	88	87.2
HRO	72	65	67.7	13/16	11.4	78	79.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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