HRO 48-67 BRA, May 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BRA beat HRO 67-48, and BRA's shots were worth 82.1 points to HRO's 79.1.

HRO 48-67 BRA, May 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	62	36	65.9	12/18	13.2	48	79.1
BRA	64	54	63.9	13/25	18.1	67	82.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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