HAM 88-93 CHE, May 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHE beat HAM 93-88, and CHE's shots were worth 94.1 points to HAM's 89.1.

HAM 88-93 CHE, May 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAM	71	74	74.4	14/20	14.7	88	89.1
CHE	66	75	75.0	18/25	19.1	93	94.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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