WUE 85-102 HDB, May 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HDB beat WUE 102-85, but WUE's shots were worth 95.7 points to HDB's 76.1.

WUE 85-102 HDB, May 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WUE	63	59	69.7	26/33	26.0	85	95.7
HDB	68	96	70.2	6/8	5.9	102	76.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.