BER 102-88 BON, April 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BER beat BON 102-88, but BON's shots were worth 95.6 points to BER's 82.1.

BER 102-88 BON, April 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BER	64	90	70.1	12/16	12.0	102	82.1
BON	73	67	77.6	21/24	18.0	88	95.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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