CHE 108-102 HRO, May 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHE beat HRO 108-102, but HRO's shots were worth 99.4 points to CHE's 96.1.

CHE 108-102 HRO, May 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHE	73	87	74.0	21/30	22.1	108	96.1
HRO	84	90	84.5	12/20	14.9	102	99.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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