FRS 70-85 WUE, May 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WUE beat FRS 85-70, but FRS's shots were worth 70.0 points to WUE's 69.7.

FRS 70-85 WUE, May 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FRS	55	59	58.7	11/15	11.3	70	70.0
WUE	60	74	59.8	11/13	9.9	85	69.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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