BON 85-81 BRA, April 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BON beat BRA 85-81, but BRA's shots were worth 82.4 points to BON's 81.4.

BON 85-81 BRA, April 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BON	61	68	63.0	17/25	18.3	85	81.4
BRA	68	70	70.1	11/17	12.3	81	82.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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