ULM 119-92 OLD, April 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULM beat OLD 119-92, and ULM's shots were worth 111.0 points to OLD's 91.5.

ULM 119-92 OLD, April 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ULM	75	98	92.1	21/26	18.9	119	111.0
OLD	63	71	72.4	21/24	19.1	92	91.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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