LUD 63-79 BER, April 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BER beat LUD 79-63, but LUD's shots were worth 91.5 points to BER's 74.7.

LUD 63-79 BER, April 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LUD684574.718/2616.86391.5
BER576459.915/2014.87974.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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