VEC 68-84 HRO, April 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HRO beat VEC 84-68, but VEC's shots were worth 89.6 points to HRO's 85.1.

VEC 68-84 HRO, April 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VEC665270.916/2518.76889.6
HRO616263.022/3022.18485.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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