HRO 94-89 LUD, April 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat LUD 94-89, and HRO's shots were worth 82.1 points to LUD's 73.7.

HRO 94-89 LUD, April 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	60	73	62.0	21/27	20.1	94	82.1
LUD	68	84	69.1	5/7	4.6	89	73.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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