MBC 85-72 FRS, April 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MBC beat FRS 85-72, and MBC's shots were worth 80.2 points to FRS's 68.6.

MBC 85-72 FRS, April 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MBC	58	69	65.3	16/19	14.9	85	80.2
FRS	50	60	57.3	12/15	11.3	72	68.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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