FCB 91-66 HRO, March 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. FCB beat HRO 91-66, but HRO's shots were worth 75.5 points to FCB's 73.2.

FCB 91-66 HRO, March 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FCB	66	85	67.2	6/9	6.0	91	73.2
HRO	62	52	59.5	14/22	16.0	66	75.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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