ULM 115-88 FRS, March 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULM beat FRS 115-88, and ULM's shots were worth 88.3 points to FRS's 74.1.

ULM 115-88 FRS, March 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULM679773.318/2015.011588.3
FRS546956.419/2417.78874.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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