FRS 77-69 LUD, March 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. FRS beat LUD 77-69, but LUD's shots were worth 91.1 points to FRS's 74.5.

FRS 77-69 LUD, March 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
FRS455048.327/3526.27774.5
LUD735578.414/1912.76991.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.