OLD 99-81 HAM, March 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OLD beat HAM 99-81, but HAM's shots were worth 89.7 points to OLD's 85.5.

OLD 99-81 HAM, March 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLD	52	67	57.9	32/36	27.6	99	85.5
HAM	62	63	68.1	18/32	21.6	81	89.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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