FCB 87-78 HDB, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. FCB beat HDB 87-78, and FCB's shots were worth 79.4 points to HDB's 72.9.

FCB 87-78 HDB, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FCB	60	72	64.7	15/20	14.7	87	79.4
HDB	58	68	62.6	10/14	10.2	78	72.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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