ULM 101-90 BER, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat BER 101-90, but BER's shots were worth 96.7 points to ULM's 95.6.

ULM 101-90 BER, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ULM	69	78	76.3	23/27	19.3	101	95.6
BER	63	67	73.1	23/32	23.6	90	96.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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