BAM 92-85 FRS, March 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BAM beat FRS 92-85, but FRS's shots were worth 86.5 points to BAM's 82.1.

BAM 92-85 FRS, March 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAM	53	65	56.6	27/36	25.4	92	82.1
FRS	66	71	72.8	14/19	13.7	85	86.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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