HAM 78-77 HRO, March 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HAM beat HRO 78-77, and HAM's shots were worth 80.1 points to HRO's 79.2.

HAM 78-77 HRO, March 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAM	68	70	71.1	8/13	9.1	78	80.1
HRO	67	65	68.8	12/14	10.4	77	79.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.