HRO 71-78 BER, February 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BER beat HRO 78-71, and BER's shots were worth 84.9 points to HRO's 80.3.

HRO 71-78 BER, February 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	59	51	61.3	20/26	19.0	71	80.3
BER	59	59	62.1	19/30	22.8	78	84.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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