CHE 72-65 HDB, February 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHE beat HDB 72-65, and CHE's shots were worth 77.1 points to HDB's 76.5.

CHE 72-65 HDB, February 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHE	66	63	65.3	9/16	11.8	72	77.1
HDB	68	53	62.6	12/19	14.0	65	76.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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