HDB 86-73 LUD, February 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HDB beat LUD 86-73, but LUD's shots were worth 87.2 points to HDB's 73.4.

HDB 86-73 LUD, February 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HDB475747.029/3626.48673.4
LUD675872.315/2115.07387.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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