FCB 99-86 BER, February 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. FCB beat BER 99-86, and FCB's shots were worth 88.1 points to BER's 74.9.

FCB 99-86 BER, February 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
FCB768978.310/149.89988.1
BER647766.19/128.78674.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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