HRO 88-82 HDB, February 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HRO beat HDB 88-82, but HDB's shots were worth 82.9 points to HRO's 79.4.

HRO 88-82 HDB, February 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	66	73	64.1	15/20	15.4	88	79.4
HDB	63	63	66.6	19/22	16.3	82	82.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.