LUD 69-83 BRA, January 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRA beat LUD 83-69, but LUD's shots were worth 99.3 points to BRA's 75.4.

LUD 69-83 BRA, January 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LUD	78	50	79.9	19/28	19.4	69	99.3
BRA	54	61	53.7	22/30	21.7	83	75.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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