HDB 81-66 CHE, April 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HDB beat CHE 81-66, and HDB's shots were worth 93.8 points to CHE's 77.8.

HDB 81-66 CHE, April 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HDB	66	64	76.0	17/24	17.8	81	93.8
CHE	55	52	56.1	14/30	21.7	66	77.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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