FRS 61-75 BER, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BER beat FRS 75-61, and BER's shots were worth 81.3 points to FRS's 68.5.

FRS 61-75 BER, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FRS	57	49	56.9	12/16	11.6	61	68.5
BER	71	63	69.4	12/16	11.9	75	81.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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