CHE 85-66 FRS, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHE beat FRS 85-66, and CHE's shots were worth 79.4 points to FRS's 73.4.

CHE 85-66 FRS, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHE	59	71	63.4	14/22	16.0	85	79.4
FRS	58	55	59.7	11/19	13.7	66	73.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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