BRA 74-94 BON, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BON beat BRA 94-74, and BON's shots were worth 97.8 points to BRA's 87.7.

BRA 74-94 BON, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRA695770.417/2417.27487.7
BON697075.424/2922.49497.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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