OLD 70-64 LUD, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLD beat LUD 70-64, and OLD's shots were worth 93.4 points to LUD's 89.2.

OLD 70-64 LUD, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLD	65	49	70.2	21/31	23.1	70	93.4
LUD	76	61	79.9	3/13	9.3	64	89.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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