HRO 87-83 VEC, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat VEC 87-83, and HRO's shots were worth 82.3 points to VEC's 71.2.

HRO 87-83 VEC, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	62	60	60.1	27/30	22.3	87	82.3
VEC	62	64	55.4	19/20	15.8	83	71.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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