LUD 63-67 HDB, December 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HDB beat LUD 67-63, but LUD's shots were worth 80.9 points to HDB's 69.2.

LUD 63-67 HDB, December 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LUD	64	43	62.3	20/27	18.6	63	80.9
HDB	59	60	58.2	7/15	11.0	67	69.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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