HDB 59-87 FCB, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. FCB beat HDB 87-59, but HDB's shots were worth 74.9 points to FCB's 74.3.

HDB 59-87 FCB, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HDB594661.813/1813.25974.9
FCB517054.817/2619.58774.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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