BAM 81-80 CHE, December 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BAM beat CHE 81-80, but CHE's shots were worth 104.3 points to BAM's 85.7.

BAM 81-80 CHE, December 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAM646571.416/2014.38185.7
CHE746086.120/2518.280104.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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