BRA 83-82 OLD, December 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BRA beat OLD 83-82, but OLD's shots were worth 91.5 points to BRA's 89.3.

BRA 83-82 OLD, December 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BRA	70	65	73.5	18/22	15.8	83	89.3
OLD	73	66	77.6	16/18	13.8	82	91.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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