HRO 92-78 HAM, December 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat HAM 92-78, and HRO's shots were worth 85.6 points to HAM's 81.5.

HRO 92-78 HAM, December 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	74	84	77.4	8/11	8.2	92	85.6
HAM	61	57	62.6	21/26	18.9	78	81.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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