VEC 69-79 HAM, December 14, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HAM beat VEC 79-69, but VEC's shots were worth 86.7 points to HAM's 84.9.

VEC 69-79 HAM, December 14, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VEC745774.712/1612.06986.7
HAM676670.213/2114.77984.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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