ULM 67-69 HDB, December 14, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HDB beat ULM 69-67, and HDB's shots were worth 81.7 points to ULM's 78.1.

ULM 67-69 HDB, December 14, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULM606067.27/1510.96778.1
HDB686273.47/118.46981.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.