BRA 76-70 MBC, December 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BRA beat MBC 76-70, and BRA's shots were worth 70.8 points to MBC's 65.1.

BRA 76-70 MBC, December 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRA576157.115/1913.77670.8
MBC586359.27/85.97065.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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