BON 75-95 ULM, December 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat BON 95-75, but BON's shots were worth 84.8 points to ULM's 66.3.

BON 75-95 ULM, December 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BON	64	56	67.3	19/24	17.5	75	84.8
ULM	58	85	58.0	10/11	8.2	95	66.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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