HAM 91-78 FRS, November 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HAM beat FRS 91-78, but FRS's shots were worth 77.8 points to HAM's 76.5.

HAM 91-78 FRS, November 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAM	60	78	64.0	13/19	12.5	91	76.5
FRS	62	66	65.2	12/18	12.7	78	77.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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