HDB 86-81 HRO, November 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HDB beat HRO 86-81, and HDB's shots were worth 73.4 points to HRO's 67.4.

HDB 86-81 HRO, November 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HDB	54	62	50.1	24/31	23.3	86	73.4
HRO	62	72	54.5	9/18	12.9	81	67.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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