VEC 96-93 BER, November 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. VEC beat BER 96-93, but BER's shots were worth 87.2 points to VEC's 83.8.

VEC 96-93 BER, November 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VEC	73	84	71.3	12/16	12.5	96	83.8
BER	68	76	68.3	17/27	18.9	93	87.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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