BRA 82-74 CHE, November 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BRA beat CHE 82-74, but CHE's shots were worth 76.6 points to BRA's 66.6.

BRA 82-74 CHE, November 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BRA	50	62	48.6	20/24	18.0	82	66.6
CHE	64	62	66.0	12/14	10.6	74	76.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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